A thought experiment

One thought on “A thought experiment”

  1. Ummm… that’s a difficult one!

    Let me hint a bit. There are also Crimean forums, chats, blogs, there are webcams with archives for a few years back, journalists, etc. – it’s a big place, they write and say something as well, they upload videos on youtube etc.

    Check those.

    It took me half a day to come to a conclusion that Crimea was lost for Ukraine by December 2013, may be earlier.

    Why it decided not be independent?
    They announced they want to use Chapter 46 of Ukrainian constitution and have a referendum on leaving mother-state (Ukrainians really need to edit their constitution, at the very least delete that article if they are against federation!)
    The hysteria that followed made them think about example of S.Ossetia and Abhasia – both are independent all right, but recognized by one and a half countries – closed for entire world.

    Crimea didn’t want to be closed for the world. Crimea’s main business is tourism. How to be a tourism country if no one can enter it? That hysteria really gave them no choice. Result – they changed their plans and said they didn’t want independence, but wanted to change a mother-country instead.

    Some of my friends say: we should be allowed to have referendums on whether we accept somebody.

    I always answer: there is an article in Russian constitution about any region being able to gather a vote and leave Russia. It happened once in the 90s (Chechnya -> Ichkeria), it happened in XIX-early XX century (Poland and Finland gathered such votes and were allowed to leave), it was present but didn’t work only in USSR time. It is the same article Ukrainians copy-pasted into their constitution (chapter 46). Nobody guaranteed that what works for us, will work for them.

    There is also an article that any foreign country can gather a vote and join Russia.

    But there is no article saying that Russia should vote whether to take them or not. What’s possible though is to take, and then to convince them to leave, if we are not happy. But we can’t refuse if someone’s asking.

    May be, we should add such article as well, just in case? Right now if Donetsk asks, we can’t refuse. So we pretend to be deaf, with no legal grounds.


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